Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 2.771500 2.909799 3.054833 3.218900 3.400123 3.595091 3.821944
2025-07-06 2.514809 2.697817 2.897821 3.134632 3.410095 3.723941 4.113895
2025-07-13 2.408725 2.634117 2.889848 3.205980 3.592984 4.060984 4.686186
2025-07-20 2.293240 2.546607 2.842965 3.222849 3.709195 4.330467 5.221445
2025-07-27 2.245029 2.531975 2.878245 3.339481 3.959815 4.804146 6.126130
2025-08-03 2.180846 2.491213 2.875654 3.404987 4.149115 5.224483 7.065473
2025-08-10 2.083721 2.401545 2.802532 3.368019 4.189627 5.433684 7.728013
2025-08-17 1.962493 2.273593 2.670364 3.237955 4.079387 5.391444 7.933447
2025-08-24 1.873211 2.181928 2.580146 3.158513 4.034757 5.446275 8.341402
2025-08-31 1.815098 2.127611 2.536119 3.140234 4.079942 5.656500 9.142642
2025-09-07 1.744349 2.053059 2.460109 3.069285 4.033820 5.698160 9.585775
2025-09-14 1.677513 1.980870 2.383660 2.992318 3.970186 5.697820 9.931610
2025-09-21 1.596753 1.891893 2.286616 2.889146 3.872217 5.653842 10.262069
2025-09-28 1.538218 1.830978 2.226420 2.838565 3.859240 5.778233 11.167450
2025-10-05 1.521341 1.826052 2.245125 2.910879 4.067585 6.406508 14.281227
2025-10-12 1.491001 1.800985 2.233228 2.933914 4.192228 6.898488 17.785902
2025-10-19 1.484487 1.808709 2.269503 3.038044 4.486301 7.913758 27.314444
2025-10-26 1.466340 1.798819 2.278555 3.097401 4.704235 8.850769 44.749636
2025-11-02 1.428309 1.758553 2.238955 3.069338 4.736142 9.263169 64.849750
2025-11-09 1.373960 1.692710 2.157050 2.961448 4.582599 9.026779 67.936094
2025-11-16 1.332422 1.644320 2.100412 2.895237 4.514611 9.068657 85.820828
2025-11-23 1.305168 1.615907 2.073623 2.880485 4.559667 9.530925 182.086151
2025-11-30 1.269357 1.573767 2.023577 2.820478 4.494551 9.567892 324.525392